"We don't win bets by being in love with our own ideas. We win bets by relentlessly calibrating our beliefs and predictions about the future to more accurately represent the world"
Annie Duke from her book Thinking in BetsThoughts:
It is not so easy to see things in different ways even when I want to. And I want to/need to do this to be able to see and assess different potential outcomes for decisions, which I have decided is important for me to do to challenge myself to 'live my best life'.
Rats, again!!! It boils down to - for best results in decisions/ in life; identify the hardest thing to do and then do that first
“If you put individuals together in the right way, such that some individuals can use their reasoning powers to disconfirm the claims of others, and all individuals feel some common bond or shared fate that allows them to interact civilly, you can create a group that ends up producing good reasoning as an emergent property of the social system. This is why it’s so important to have intellectual and ideological diversity within any group or institution whose goal is to find truth.”
Annie Duke
Cheers
Jeanne
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